Serie A Round 28

Fiorentina vs Lazio analysis

Fiorentina Lazio
81 ELO 82
-5.1% Tilt -13.9%
20º General ELO ranking 17º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
56.3%
Fiorentina
22.3%
Draw
21.4%
Lazio

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
Fiorentina
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
21.4%
Win probability
Lazio
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fiorentina
-4%
-5%
Lazio

ELO progression

Fiorentina
Lazio
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fiorentina
Fiorentina
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Mar. 1951
ATL
Atalanta
0 - 2
Fiorentina
FIO
48%
24%
28%
80 77 3 0
04 Mar. 1951
FIO
Fiorentina
4 - 1
Padova
PAD
65%
19%
16%
80 73 7 0
25 Feb. 1951
JUV
Juventus
5 - 0
Fiorentina
FIO
82%
11%
7%
80 88 8 0
18 Feb. 1951
FIO
Fiorentina
1 - 0
Genoa
GEN
67%
18%
15%
80 73 7 0
11 Feb. 1951
ASL
Lucchese Libertas
0 - 2
Fiorentina
FIO
44%
25%
32%
80 71 9 0

Matches

Lazio
Lazio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Mar. 1951
LAZ
Lazio
2 - 0
Lucchese Libertas
ASL
75%
15%
11%
82 69 13 0
04 Mar. 1951
SAM
Sampdoria
1 - 1
Lazio
LAZ
48%
25%
28%
82 75 7 0
25 Feb. 1951
LAZ
Lazio
2 - 1
Roma
ROM
72%
16%
12%
82 73 9 0
18 Feb. 1951
UDI
Udinese
2 - 3
Lazio
LAZ
37%
25%
38%
82 74 8 0
11 Feb. 1951
LAZ
Lazio
3 - 0
Torino
TOR
47%
21%
32%
81 85 4 +1