Fiorentina vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
51.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
FIO
1 - 0
LEC
63%
21%
17%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
UDI
0 - 0
FIO
53%
25%
22%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
FIO
2 - 0
MES
65%
21%
14%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2006 |
SAM
3 - 1
FIO
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
FIO
2 - 1
CHI
56%
24%
20%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
INT
1 - 0
CHI
75%
17%
8%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2006 |
INT
1 - 0
LAZ
70%
19%
11%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
LEC
0 - 2
INT
19%
24%
57%
|
92 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2006 |
LAZ
1 - 1
INT
32%
27%
41%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
INT
3 - 0
PAL
75%
17%
8%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |