Fiorentina vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
8.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1961 |
BAR
0 - 0
FIO
21%
25%
54%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1961 |
FIO
1 - 0
SAM
74%
15%
12%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
LEC
0 - 2
FIO
27%
25%
48%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 1961 |
ROM
1 - 3
FIO
47%
23%
30%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1961 |
MES
0 - 2
FIO
25%
25%
50%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1961 |
PAD
3 - 1
LEC
74%
16%
10%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1961 |
ACM
3 - 0
PAD
78%
13%
9%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
PAD
1 - 1
SPA
68%
18%
15%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1961 |
PAD
2 - 0
NAP
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1961 |
PAD
1 - 0
TRI
76%
15%
10%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |