Lega Primavera U19 Round 23

Fiorentina U19 vs Novara U19 analysis

Fiorentina U19 Novara U19
46 ELO 32
-0.8% Tilt 6.4%
8147º General ELO ranking 33244º
308º Country ELO ranking 1062º
ELO win probability
69.4%
Fiorentina U19
18.4%
Draw
12.2%
Novara U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
Fiorentina U19
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
12.2%
Win probability
Novara U19
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Fiorentina U19
Novara U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fiorentina U19
Fiorentina U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Mar. 2013
LIV
Livorno U19
0 - 5
Fiorentina U19
FIO
19%
23%
59%
45 32 13 0
09 Mar. 2013
FIO
Fiorentina U19
2 - 1
Empoli U19
EMP
65%
21%
14%
44 36 8 +1
02 Mar. 2013
GRO
Grosseto U19
1 - 4
Fiorentina U19
FIO
8%
17%
75%
44 17 27 0
23 Feb. 2013
FIO
Fiorentina U19
4 - 1
Sampdoria U19
SAM
61%
22%
18%
43 36 7 +1
08 Feb. 2013
JUV
Juventus U19
2 - 0
Fiorentina U19
FIO
54%
22%
24%
44 46 2 -1

Matches

Novara U19
Novara U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Mar. 2013
NOV
Novara U19
3 - 2
Grosseto U19
GRO
82%
12%
6%
33 15 18 0
08 Mar. 2013
CAG
Cagliari U19
1 - 0
Novara U19
NOV
40%
24%
36%
33 30 3 0
02 Mar. 2013
SAM
Sampdoria U19
0 - 0
Novara U19
NOV
53%
22%
25%
33 35 2 0
23 Feb. 2013
NOV
Novara U19
1 - 1
Livorno U19
LIV
53%
22%
25%
33 31 2 0
09 Feb. 2013
SIE
Siena U19
1 - 2
Novara U19
NOV
33%
25%
43%
33 27 6 0