Finnsnes vs Follo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
58.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finnsnes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
LOR
4 - 2
FIN
70%
17%
13%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2012 |
FIN
2 - 0
STA
52%
22%
26%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
SEN
1 - 3
FIN
66%
19%
15%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +2 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
FIN
4 - 4
NES
40%
26%
35%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
KVI
5 - 1
FIN
62%
21%
17%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Follo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
FOL
3 - 1
ASK
41%
25%
34%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
MOS
0 - 1
FOL
30%
23%
47%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
FOL
4 - 0
MJO
71%
18%
12%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
FOL
0 - 1
LOR
56%
22%
22%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2012 |
STA
0 - 2
FOL
20%
22%
58%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |