Finn Harps vs Kerry FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.4%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
6.7%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+562%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
2º
6º
6º
18
8º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 74 |
1º
|
96% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 57 |
2º
|
35% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 56 |
3º
|
26% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 53 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 51 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
30 | 51 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 49 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 43 |
8º
|
48% | |
|
|
9º
|
18 | 27 |
9º
|
54.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 25 |
10º
|
56% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
53% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
47% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finn Harps
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
WEX
1 - 2
FIN
51%
23%
26%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
FIN
0 - 1
COB
34%
26%
41%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
FIN
2 - 0
ATH
36%
24%
39%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
FIN
1 - 1
CAO
25%
25%
50%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
LON
2 - 3
FIN
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Kerry FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
KEF
1 - 1
COB
12%
19%
69%
|
9 | 55 | 46 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
ATH
1 - 1
KEF
85%
10%
5%
|
8 | 50 | 42 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
KEF
0 - 1
TRE
13%
20%
67%
|
8 | 53 | 45 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
KEF
2 - 3
BRW
12%
20%
68%
|
9 | 49 | 40 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
CAO
2 - 0
KEF
78%
15%
7%
|
9 | 59 | 50 | 0 |