Finn Harps vs Kerry FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.9%
Win probability
3.36
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.4%
6-0
4%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.2%
5-0
7.1%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.6%
4-0
10.6%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.2%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
7.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
7.9%
3.2%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+562%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
6º
9º
9º
10
9º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
94 | 94 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finn Harps
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
GAL
1 - 0
FIN
80%
14%
6%
|
46 | 71 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
COB
5 - 1
FIN
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
FIN
1 - 2
STP
11%
18%
71%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
FIN
0 - 4
WAT
11%
21%
68%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
WEX
1 - 1
FIN
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Kerry FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
KEF
0 - 4
GAL
15%
24%
61%
|
8 | 71 | 63 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
ATH
2 - 1
KEF
91%
7%
2%
|
8 | 52 | 44 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
KEF
0 - 0
LON
8%
16%
76%
|
7 | 52 | 45 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
KEF
1 - 3
BRW
6%
12%
83%
|
8 | 45 | 37 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
TRE
3 - 1
KEF
86%
10%
4%
|
8 | 49 | 41 | 0 |