FiesoleCal... vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
62.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FiesoleCal...
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
SPO
3 - 2
FIE
65%
20%
16%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
FIE
3 - 4
TOD
54%
23%
23%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
FIE
68%
19%
13%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
FIE
1 - 1
CAS
33%
24%
43%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
CAS
0 - 1
FIE
70%
17%
13%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ARZ
0 - 2
BAS
84%
12%
5%
|
53 | 23 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
ARZ
0 - 1
CAS
80%
14%
7%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
TOD
0 - 1
ARZ
13%
21%
66%
|
53 | 27 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ARZ
0 - 1
DER
83%
12%
5%
|
54 | 32 | 22 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
PIA
1 - 0
ARZ
17%
22%
60%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | 0 |