Fidelis Andria vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
9.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fidelis Andria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
AKR
0 - 2
FIA
46%
23%
31%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
FIA
2 - 0
LCR
68%
19%
13%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
FIA
0 - 1
BEN
36%
27%
37%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
PAG
2 - 1
FIA
15%
21%
64%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
FIA
3 - 0
MAT
51%
24%
25%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
MES
2 - 1
MAT
28%
26%
46%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
MES
0 - 0
ISC
41%
25%
34%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
PAG
1 - 1
MES
42%
28%
30%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
MES
2 - 0
NUO
24%
25%
52%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
BEN
0 - 0
MES
75%
18%
8%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | +1 |