FFA COE U21 vs Melbourne Victory U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.5%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
12%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FFA COE U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
PER
2 - 5
FFA
45%
23%
32%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2011 |
CEN
3 - 0
FFA
43%
23%
34%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -2 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
FFA
0 - 1
GCU
46%
23%
31%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
SYD
2 - 1
FFA
40%
23%
37%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
FFA
4 - 3
PER
64%
20%
16%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Melbourne Victory U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
MEL
0 - 4
BRI
38%
24%
38%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
PER
2 - 1
MEL
54%
22%
24%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2011 |
MEL
0 - 3
SYD
40%
24%
36%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -2 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
MEL
1 - 0
CEN
43%
24%
34%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
MEL
2 - 0
ADE
44%
24%
32%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +2 |