Norden vs Lorentzweiler analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
41.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
FCA
4 - 2
FFN
47%
22%
31%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
FFN
2 - 1
STE
79%
13%
8%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
BWM
3 - 3
FFN
37%
24%
39%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2018 |
FFN
5 - 3
BAS
64%
19%
17%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
KEH
2 - 1
FFN
27%
23%
50%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Lorentzweiler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
MLI
1 - 1
LOR
25%
22%
53%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
LOR
6 - 3
MAR
62%
20%
19%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
FCA
1 - 2
LOR
39%
22%
39%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
LOR
1 - 1
JUS
66%
19%
15%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
STE
1 - 3
LOR
14%
19%
67%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | +1 |