Norden vs Lorentzweiler analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
11.9%
5.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
MER
1 - 1
FFN
47%
24%
29%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
KEH
4 - 2
FFN
33%
25%
42%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -3 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
FFN
3 - 5
MAR
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
WIN
1 - 5
FFN
30%
25%
46%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
FFN
1 - 3
GRE
65%
20%
15%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Lorentzweiler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
LOR
2 - 3
KEH
26%
23%
51%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
DCE
1 - 0
LOR
75%
15%
10%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
LOR
2 - 5
ATE
25%
23%
52%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
LOR
1 - 2
WIN
37%
23%
40%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
GRE
5 - 0
LOR
73%
16%
11%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |