Norden vs Hosingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.2%
18.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+54%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
6º
14º
7º
32
8º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
84 | 84 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
57 | 57 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2022 |
BOE
2 - 0
FFN
9%
14%
76%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
FFN
2 - 3
LOR
21%
21%
58%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
FEU
4 - 4
FFN
33%
23%
45%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
FFN
4 - 1
DCE
87%
9%
4%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
FFN
6 - 3
MER
49%
22%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Hosingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2022 |
YBD
1 - 0
HOS
64%
18%
19%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
HOS
1 - 2
KEH
29%
23%
49%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2022 |
BAS
2 - 1
HOS
44%
22%
35%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
HOS
3 - 0
BOE
87%
9%
4%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
LOR
2 - 1
HOS
75%
16%
9%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |