Norden vs Erpeldange analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.3%
20%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20%
31.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
FFN
4 - 1
FEU
92%
6%
2%
|
39 | 16 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2019 |
FCA
6 - 1
FFN
50%
22%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2019 |
FFN
1 - 3
ATE
37%
23%
40%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -2 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
MLI
0 - 3
FFN
51%
23%
26%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
FFN
2 - 4
JEU
60%
20%
20%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Erpeldange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
ERP
0 - 2
KEH
28%
23%
49%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2019 |
ATE
1 - 0
ERP
61%
20%
19%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
ERP
0 - 0
MLI
52%
23%
25%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
JEU
3 - 1
ERP
38%
23%
39%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
ERP
2 - 1
BER
57%
21%
22%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |