Feulen vs Bastendorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
17.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
3º
6º
5º
57
3º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
84 | 84 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
57 | 57 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Feulen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
FEU
5 - 0
MER
62%
20%
19%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
BER
2 - 3
FEU
14%
17%
70%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
AVE
1 - 2
FEU
58%
21%
21%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
FEU
0 - 2
HOS
85%
9%
5%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
FEU
1 - 2
BER
26%
21%
52%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Bastendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
KEH
1 - 0
BAS
50%
23%
28%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
BAS
3 - 0
JUS
30%
23%
47%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +3 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
BAS
1 - 0
FCA
78%
14%
9%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
MLI
0 - 4
BAS
33%
22%
45%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
BAS
0 - 2
FFN
55%
20%
25%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -2 |