Ferrymead Bays vs Twenty 11 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
16%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferrymead Bays
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
GIA
1 - 2
FER
57%
19%
24%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
FER
2 - 6
CAS
4%
9%
87%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
NOM
1 - 2
FER
34%
21%
45%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
FCT
3 - 0
FER
8%
13%
79%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | -2 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
FER
0 - 6
CHR
10%
15%
75%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Twenty 11
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2023 |
FCT
0 - 6
NSF
8%
13%
79%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
CHR
1 - 0
FCT
93%
5%
2%
|
13 | 41 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
HAL
1 - 2
FCT
20%
19%
62%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
FCT
3 - 0
FER
8%
13%
79%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | +3 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
DUN
3 - 0
FCT
90%
7%
3%
|
11 | 25 | 14 | -1 |