Ferrymead Bays vs Christchurch United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.7%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
76.2%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
5.8%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.2%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.2%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.3%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
5º
6º
6º
21
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 47 |
1º
|
82% | |
|
|
3º
|
21 | 43 |
2º
|
58% | |
|
2º
|
23 | 40 |
3º
|
62.5% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 29 |
4º
|
46% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 28 |
5º
|
40% | |
|
|
6º
|
10 | 21 |
6º
|
37% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 21 |
7º
|
37.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 14 |
8º
|
52.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 11 |
9º
|
57.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 4 |
10º
|
85% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 71.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 28.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferrymead Bays
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
FER
1 - 0
UOC
84%
11%
5%
|
18 | 6 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
FER
2 - 1
GIA
63%
18%
19%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 2
FER
92%
5%
2%
|
17 | 39 | 22 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
FER
6 - 1
FCT
87%
9%
4%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
CHR
3 - 0
FER
90%
7%
3%
|
18 | 42 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Christchurch United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
CHR
3 - 0
NOM
82%
11%
7%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
CHR
2 - 1
COA
72%
16%
12%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
AUC
2 - 3
CHR
79%
13%
8%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
CHR
2 - 4
CAS
51%
22%
27%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
WEL
5 - 2
CHR
70%
16%
14%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -2 |