Ferrymead Bays vs Cashmere Technical analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
1.2%
2-1
2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
0.1%
+1
4.7%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
10.5%
82.6%
Win probability
3.4
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
8%
2-4
3.3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
6.8%
2-5
2.3%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0%
-3
17.8%
0-4
7%
1-5
4.6%
2-6
1.3%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
13.2%
0-5
4.8%
1-6
2.6%
2-7
0.6%
3-8
0.1%
-5
8.1%
0-6
2.7%
1-7
1.3%
2-8
0.3%
3-9
0%
-6
4.3%
0-7
1.3%
1-8
0.5%
2-9
0.1%
3-10
0%
-7
2%
0-8
0.6%
1-9
0.2%
2-10
0%
-8
0.8%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0.1%
-9
0.3%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
6º
5º
47
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferrymead Bays
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
NSF
4 - 2
FER
55%
20%
25%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SUF
0 - 3
FER
21%
19%
60%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FER
3 - 2
SUF
75%
15%
11%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
COA
1 - 0
FER
62%
19%
20%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
FER
3 - 0
FCT
85%
10%
5%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Cashmere Technical
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
CAS
3 - 0
NOM
90%
7%
4%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
CAS
11 - 0
BUR
86%
9%
5%
|
40 | 10 | 30 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
UOC
0 - 7
CAS
4%
8%
88%
|
40 | 7 | 33 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
NSF
1 - 6
CAS
9%
13%
78%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CAS
4 - 2
SUF
93%
5%
2%
|
40 | 12 | 28 | 0 |