Ferroviario PI vs Comercial PI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
78%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.8%
0-4
6.8%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.5%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.4%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviario PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
RIV
3 - 0
FPI
79%
14%
7%
|
9 | 40 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Comercial PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
CAC
0 - 1
FPI
50%
22%
29%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
ARA
0 - 2
CAC
36%
25%
38%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +12 |
| 23 Aug. 2012 |
CAC
3 - 1
SAN
58%
22%
20%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
CAC
0 - 1
SAM
19%
24%
57%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
MIX
4 - 0
CAC
66%
19%
15%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |