Ferroviário Nacala vs UP de Manica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
26.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário Nacala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
DES
4 - 1
FEN
41%
31%
28%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
FEN
1 - 1
IDX
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
SCN
2 - 1
FEN
42%
30%
28%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
FEN
1 - 0
MAX
55%
27%
19%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
FEN
2 - 0
TEX
49%
27%
25%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
UP de Manica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
UPM
3 - 2
FER
46%
29%
24%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
LIG
1 - 2
UPM
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
UPM
1 - 0
FER
47%
29%
25%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
COS
1 - 1
UPM
56%
25%
19%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
UPM
0 - 1
HCB
40%
30%
30%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |