Ferroviário do Cabo vs Jaguar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
50.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+731%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário do Cabo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
FEC
2 - 1
AEB
49%
23%
28%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
AEB
3 - 1
FEC
32%
23%
45%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2014 |
ADJ
1 - 2
FEC
65%
19%
17%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
FEC
1 - 2
VCR
24%
23%
53%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
OFC
2 - 0
FEC
75%
15%
10%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Jaguar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
ADJ
3 - 1
VCR
35%
24%
41%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
VCR
2 - 1
ADJ
58%
22%
20%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2014 |
ADJ
1 - 2
FEC
65%
19%
17%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
AEB
0 - 1
ADJ
24%
23%
53%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
TFC
2 - 0
ADJ
67%
19%
14%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | 0 |