Ferroviário Nampula vs Ferroviário Beira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
27.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário Nampula
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
HCB
2 - 1
FER
53%
26%
21%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
FER
1 - 0
FER
42%
28%
30%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
BDP
0 - 1
FER
43%
28%
29%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FER
3 - 1
BBM
38%
28%
34%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
QUE
0 - 1
FER
41%
29%
30%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Ferroviário Beira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
FER
0 - 2
BBM
41%
25%
35%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
FER
1 - 0
VIL
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
FER
1 - 0
FER
42%
28%
30%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
FER
2 - 2
HCB
45%
28%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
FER
0 - 2
BDP
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |