Ferroviária vs Capivariano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
41.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
ITU
2 - 2
FER
68%
19%
12%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2013 |
FER
0 - 1
JUV
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
FER
1 - 1
RIO
42%
26%
32%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
RIO
1 - 1
FER
44%
27%
30%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
JUV
1 - 0
FER
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Capivariano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
COM
0 - 1
CAP
56%
22%
22%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
CAP
1 - 2
POR
17%
20%
63%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
CAT
1 - 0
CAP
45%
24%
31%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
CAP
2 - 2
CAT
48%
24%
28%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
POR
1 - 0
CAP
77%
16%
7%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | 0 |