Ferroviária vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
COR
2 - 1
FER
73%
20%
8%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
FER
1 - 1
ITU
66%
20%
14%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
RBB
0 - 0
FER
28%
26%
46%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
FER
2 - 2
INT
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
INT
0 - 0
FER
24%
26%
49%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
BOT
3 - 1
NOV
36%
23%
42%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
BOT
0 - 1
PAL
16%
23%
62%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2018 |
BRA
2 - 0
BOT
36%
27%
37%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
BOT
5 - 3
YPI
56%
25%
19%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
TOM
2 - 1
BOT
41%
29%
30%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |