Ferro General Pico vs San Martín Mendoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
16.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
7º
7º
39
3º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferro General Pico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
JUU
1 - 0
FER
44%
28%
28%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2023 |
FER
2 - 0
SPE
44%
27%
30%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CIP
1 - 0
FER
47%
26%
27%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
FER
1 - 1
VIL
29%
30%
41%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CIB
2 - 0
FER
55%
25%
20%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
San Martín Mendoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
SMA
1 - 0
ATE
49%
27%
24%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
HHE
1 - 0
SMA
57%
26%
17%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SMA
0 - 0
LIN
56%
25%
19%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 0
SMA
56%
26%
19%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
SMA
3 - 1
UNI
23%
26%
51%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +3 |