Ferro General Pico vs Alvarado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
23.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferro General Pico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CGB
0 - 0
FER
37%
27%
36%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
UNI
3 - 3
FER
57%
24%
19%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
FER
1 - 2
UNI
33%
27%
40%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
SOL
1 - 1
FER
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
FER
3 - 1
SOL
31%
25%
44%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
AGR
1 - 0
ALV
31%
28%
41%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
LIB
2 - 2
ALV
55%
26%
19%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
ALV
3 - 6
LIB
38%
28%
35%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -2 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
ALV
0 - 0
MIT
45%
27%
28%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
MIT
1 - 1
ALV
48%
27%
25%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |