Ferro Carril Oeste vs San Martín San Juan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.7%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
31.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2009 |
PLA
2 - 2
FER
40%
27%
32%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
FER
2 - 0
OLI
33%
30%
38%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
FER
3 - 1
TAL
34%
28%
38%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
ALD
1 - 0
FER
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2008 |
CAU
3 - 0
FER
56%
25%
19%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
San Martín San Juan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2009 |
SMA
2 - 0
QUI
37%
29%
34%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2009 |
ATT
3 - 1
SMA
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
CAI
1 - 1
SMA
46%
28%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
SMA
1 - 3
CHA
41%
30%
29%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2008 |
IRV
2 - 1
SMA
47%
28%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |