Ferro Carril Oeste vs Defensa y Justicia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
31.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2006 |
POR
1 - 0
FER
40%
29%
31%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
FER
1 - 1
TAL
28%
28%
45%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2006 |
RAF
1 - 1
FER
57%
24%
19%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
FER
0 - 2
HUR
34%
28%
38%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2006 |
ALD
2 - 1
FER
66%
21%
13%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
DYJ
5 - 1
HUR
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
JAN
1 - 0
DYJ
51%
26%
24%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
POR
1 - 0
DYJ
31%
28%
40%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
DYJ
1 - 1
TAL
34%
28%
39%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2006 |
RAF
0 - 1
DYJ
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |