Ferro Carril Oeste vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
37.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1937 |
RAC
2 - 2
FER
75%
14%
12%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1937 |
FER
3 - 3
GLP
49%
21%
31%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1937 |
TAL
4 - 3
FER
53%
22%
25%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1937 |
FER
4 - 1
ATL
57%
19%
24%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1937 |
TIG
1 - 3
FER
56%
21%
23%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1937 |
VEL
2 - 1
EST
62%
19%
19%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1937 |
LAN
2 - 0
VEL
36%
23%
42%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1937 |
VEL
5 - 2
CHA
71%
15%
14%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1937 |
PLA
3 - 1
VEL
40%
22%
38%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1937 |
VEL
2 - 1
BOC
47%
21%
32%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |