Ferro Carril Oeste vs Brown Adrogué analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.3%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
29.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
GBR
3 - 1
FER
34%
28%
39%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
FER
1 - 0
RAF
34%
28%
38%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
IRV
1 - 2
FER
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
FER
2 - 1
BAR
45%
29%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
INS
2 - 2
FER
50%
26%
25%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Brown Adrogué
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
BRO
0 - 1
MOR
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2021 |
CAG
1 - 1
BRO
35%
29%
36%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
BRO
2 - 0
ALM
51%
27%
22%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
RSA
0 - 0
BRO
38%
29%
33%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
BRO
0 - 3
DEF
45%
30%
25%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |