Ferriolense vs Penya Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
45.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferriolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
FER
0 - 2
ALC
45%
25%
30%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
PCE
1 - 0
FER
40%
24%
36%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
FER
2 - 1
BNS
24%
26%
50%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
SDF
1 - 0
FER
70%
17%
13%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
FER
2 - 0
PBL
35%
26%
39%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Penya Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
PXD
5 - 1
PCE
70%
18%
13%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
BNS
1 - 1
PXD
50%
26%
24%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
PXD
1 - 0
SDF
49%
24%
28%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
PBL
0 - 0
PXD
32%
28%
40%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2013 |
UES
2 - 1
PXD
70%
20%
11%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |