Ferriolense vs Mercadal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
24.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferriolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
CFP
2 - 2
FER
46%
25%
29%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
FER
4 - 1
UDI
75%
15%
9%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
SNF
2 - 1
FER
59%
22%
19%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
FER
1 - 2
FRR
65%
20%
15%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
PXD
1 - 0
FER
68%
20%
12%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Mercadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
MER
1 - 1
SFF
48%
25%
28%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
CAM
3 - 0
MER
44%
25%
31%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
MER
1 - 1
CDE
35%
24%
40%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
MNU
2 - 1
MER
34%
26%
41%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
CFP
1 - 0
MER
41%
25%
34%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |