Ferreira de Aves vs Sourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
56%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferreira de Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 0
FAV
83%
12%
6%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
FAV
0 - 4
BEN
9%
15%
76%
|
17 | 45 | 28 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
MAR
3 - 1
FAV
84%
12%
5%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
FAV
2 - 1
FAL
83%
11%
6%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
OLE
2 - 1
FAV
78%
14%
8%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Sourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
SOU
0 - 2
ADN
31%
24%
45%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
ADM
4 - 2
SOU
64%
20%
16%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
SOU
0 - 4
LUS
22%
27%
51%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | -2 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
GAF
3 - 1
SOU
66%
21%
14%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
SOU
2 - 1
MOR
38%
25%
38%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +2 |