Fernwald vs Schwalmstadt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
32.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
FRA
0 - 1
FER
68%
18%
14%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
FER
0 - 1
FSV
15%
19%
66%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Schwalmstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
FSV
5 - 0
SWM
81%
13%
7%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
SWM
1 - 1
HES
27%
22%
51%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2005 |
BAU
6 - 4
SWM
72%
16%
12%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
SWM
4 - 3
KKA
32%
23%
46%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
BUC
3 - 2
SWM
67%
18%
14%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +1 |