Fernwald vs Würges analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
28.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2006 |
ESC
0 - 0
FER
68%
18%
14%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
FSV
1 - 0
FER
79%
14%
7%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
FER
1 - 0
VEL
54%
23%
23%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2006 |
FER
3 - 0
SVB
55%
23%
22%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2006 |
WAL
0 - 0
FER
65%
20%
15%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Würges
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
WUR
4 - 0
BRA
76%
14%
10%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2006 |
WUR
0 - 0
FUL
27%
22%
51%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
KKA
0 - 3
WUR
62%
20%
18%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | +2 |
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
SWM
1 - 1
WUR
49%
23%
29%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2006 |
FSV
2 - 0
WUR
80%
13%
7%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | -1 |