Paulista B 2nd round - Group stage Round 5

Fernandópolis vs Grêmio Sãocarlense analysis

Fernandópolis Grêmio Sãocarlense
24 ELO 45
-12.3% Tilt -2.2%
28419º General ELO ranking 38991º
821º Country ELO ranking 1190º
ELO win probability
15.2%
Fernandópolis
19.1%
Draw
65.7%
Grêmio Sãocarlense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.3%
Win probability
Fernandópolis
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
65.6%
Win probability
Grêmio Sãocarlense
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fernandópolis
-35%
-3%
Grêmio Sãocarlense

ELO progression

Fernandópolis
Grêmio Sãocarlense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fernandópolis
Fernandópolis
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Jul. 2023
RIO
Rio Branco SP
4 - 1
Fernandópolis
FER
71%
18%
12%
24 39 15 0
08 Jul. 2023
FER
Fernandópolis
0 - 2
Rio Branco SP
RIO
19%
23%
58%
25 38 13 -1
05 Jul. 2023
GDS
Grêmio Sãocarlense
3 - 1
Fernandópolis
FER
61%
21%
18%
26 45 19 -1
01 Jul. 2023
FER
Fernandópolis
1 - 0
Jabaquara
JAB
47%
25%
29%
25 25 0 +1
24 Jun. 2023
FER
Fernandópolis
3 - 0
Santacruzense
SAN
65%
20%
16%
25 18 7 0

Matches

Grêmio Sãocarlense
Grêmio Sãocarlense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Jul. 2023
JAB
Jabaquara
0 - 0
Grêmio Sãocarlense
GDS
15%
19%
66%
46 28 18 0
08 Jul. 2023
GDS
Grêmio Sãocarlense
2 - 0
Jabaquara
JAB
62%
21%
17%
45 28 17 +1
05 Jul. 2023
GDS
Grêmio Sãocarlense
3 - 1
Fernandópolis
FER
61%
21%
18%
45 26 19 0
01 Jul. 2023
RIO
Rio Branco SP
0 - 0
Grêmio Sãocarlense
GDS
33%
24%
43%
45 40 5 0
24 Jun. 2023
GDS
Grêmio Sãocarlense
3 - 0
Mogi Mirim
MOG
57%
22%
21%
45 29 16 0