Fernández Vial vs Recoleta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
26.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernández Vial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
CAU
0 - 1
FVC
31%
26%
43%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
FVC
1 - 0
VAL
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
FVC
0 - 0
DLI
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
IBE
0 - 3
FVC
42%
25%
33%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
FVC
3 - 1
LAU
47%
25%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Recoleta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2020 |
DER
0 - 3
IBE
59%
22%
19%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
DLI
1 - 3
DER
24%
25%
51%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
DER
4 - 0
CHG
46%
26%
29%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2020 |
LAU
1 - 0
DER
42%
25%
33%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
DER
1 - 3
ACC
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -2 |