Fernández Vial vs Colina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernández Vial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
FVC
2 - 1
VAL
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
CAU
3 - 0
FVC
40%
26%
34%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -2 |
| 03 Jun. 2019 |
FVC
0 - 1
IBE
45%
25%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
CHG
1 - 2
FVC
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
DER
0 - 1
FVC
37%
27%
37%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Colina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2019 |
ACC
2 - 0
GVE
34%
25%
40%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
ACC
3 - 1
CAU
36%
23%
41%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
CHG
2 - 1
ACC
64%
21%
15%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
ACC
0 - 4
DER
53%
22%
26%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 May. 2019 |
LAU
4 - 2
ACC
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |