Fermana vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
61.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2019 |
MOD
1 - 1
FER
60%
23%
17%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
FER
0 - 1
IMO
34%
28%
39%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
SSS
0 - 2
FER
63%
22%
15%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
VIS
1 - 1
FER
48%
27%
25%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
FER
1 - 2
PAD
11%
23%
66%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
TRI
2 - 0
PAD
17%
25%
59%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
REG
3 - 1
TRI
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
TRI
0 - 1
RAV
51%
26%
23%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
VIS
1 - 2
TRI
21%
24%
55%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
TRI
3 - 0
UAR
70%
19%
11%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |