Fermana vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
55.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
PIA
0 - 1
FER
74%
18%
9%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
FER
0 - 1
FER
24%
25%
52%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
VIC
3 - 1
FER
70%
20%
11%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
FER
2 - 1
RAV
22%
27%
52%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 1
FER
73%
17%
10%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
SSS
2 - 1
UAR
66%
21%
14%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
VIS
2 - 1
SSS
24%
25%
51%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
SSS
0 - 0
TRI
35%
27%
39%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
FAN
1 - 3
SSS
18%
24%
58%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
IMO
3 - 3
SSS
50%
23%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |