Fermana vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.4%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
40%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
FER
2 - 0
TER
27%
25%
49%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
FCC
3 - 0
FER
61%
24%
16%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
FER
2 - 0
LAQ
53%
26%
22%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
VIT
3 - 1
FER
59%
24%
17%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
FER
1 - 1
GIU
36%
29%
35%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
SSS
0 - 2
BEN
56%
26%
18%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2003 |
MOD
2 - 0
SSS
65%
22%
13%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
VIT
1 - 1
SSS
31%
28%
41%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
SSS
0 - 1
SOR
62%
23%
15%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
GIU
1 - 3
SSS
26%
29%
45%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | +1 |