Fermana vs Rimini analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
40.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2004 |
USF
0 - 1
FER
61%
23%
16%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
FER
0 - 0
SPA
38%
29%
33%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 0
FER
56%
22%
22%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
FER
2 - 4
SSS
35%
28%
37%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
CHI
0 - 0
FER
48%
27%
25%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Rimini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
RIM
1 - 1
VIS
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
VIR
2 - 0
RIM
32%
27%
41%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
RIM
4 - 2
SOR
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
RIM
4 - 1
TER
65%
21%
15%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
SSS
0 - 0
RIM
35%
28%
37%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |