Fermana vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.4%
29%
Draw
0-0
13%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
49.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
16.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.3%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
FER
0 - 1
MON
30%
27%
42%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
ASG
1 - 0
FER
54%
25%
21%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
FER
3 - 3
VIT
29%
28%
43%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
SIE
1 - 1
FER
54%
25%
21%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2021 |
SAL
1 - 0
FER
88%
9%
2%
|
46 | 74 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
MOD
4 - 0
IMO
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
MOD
0 - 0
TER
55%
25%
20%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2021 |
MOD
1 - 1
REG
42%
27%
31%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
GRO
0 - 0
MOD
40%
27%
33%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
VIS
0 - 1
MOD
20%
25%
55%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |