Fermana vs Matelica Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
40.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
CHI
0 - 0
FER
48%
23%
29%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
FER
4 - 1
CAM
45%
25%
31%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
VIS
0 - 1
FER
38%
24%
37%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
FER
0 - 1
REC
52%
23%
24%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 0
FER
45%
23%
32%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Matelica Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
AMI
0 - 0
MAT
23%
23%
54%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
MAT
0 - 0
SAN
65%
20%
15%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
MAT
1 - 0
JES
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
TER
0 - 1
MAT
25%
23%
51%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
MAT
3 - 0
CIV
51%
24%
25%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |