Fermana vs Imolese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
36.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
CES
4 - 0
FER
72%
19%
10%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
FER
1 - 0
PIS
46%
27%
27%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
TER
3 - 2
FER
60%
24%
16%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
FER
1 - 0
PON
33%
27%
40%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
ANC
1 - 2
FER
75%
17%
8%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Imolese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
IMO
0 - 1
REG
21%
26%
53%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
MON
4 - 1
IMO
36%
26%
38%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -2 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
IMO
2 - 2
ASG
43%
26%
31%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
ACD
2 - 0
IMO
65%
21%
15%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
IMO
5 - 0
GRO
44%
25%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |