Fermana vs Civitanovese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
13.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 2
FER
17%
21%
63%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
FER
3 - 0
JES
59%
23%
18%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
ALF
0 - 1
FER
22%
21%
57%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
FER
1 - 1
SAM
52%
23%
26%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
ROM
0 - 2
FER
26%
25%
49%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Civitanovese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
CIV
0 - 3
OLY
33%
26%
42%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
SAN
7 - 1
CIV
63%
20%
17%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
CIV
1 - 1
SAN
24%
24%
52%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
ASD
1 - 0
CIV
66%
18%
17%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
CIV
2 - 1
CAS
54%
23%
24%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |