Fermana vs Benevento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
17.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
PAT
0 - 1
FER
32%
26%
43%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
FER
2 - 2
SOR
65%
20%
15%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
LAQ
0 - 1
FER
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
SSS
1 - 0
FER
55%
26%
19%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
FER
0 - 0
MAR
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
BEN
1 - 1
TER
29%
27%
44%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
PES
3 - 2
BEN
71%
19%
11%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
BEN
1 - 0
AVE
24%
29%
47%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | +2 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
VIT
2 - 0
BEN
46%
28%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -2 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
BEN
1 - 1
VIR
33%
28%
39%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |