Ferlach vs SV Donau Klagenfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
11.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+105%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
2º
13º
4º
40
2º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
80% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
80% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferlach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2024 |
SCL
2 - 2
FLC
18%
21%
61%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
FLC
2 - 1
SVK
77%
14%
9%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
ATV
0 - 1
FLC
51%
22%
27%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
FLC
1 - 2
LEN
61%
20%
19%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
KAC
0 - 1
FLC
39%
25%
37%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
SV Donau Klagenfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2024 |
DON
3 - 2
AUK
31%
22%
47%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
SVJ
3 - 0
DON
57%
20%
23%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
DON
1 - 6
TRE
18%
18%
64%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
SPI
4 - 0
DON
74%
15%
12%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
DON
3 - 1
KLA
33%
22%
45%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +2 |