Ferlach vs St. Veit Glan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
49.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferlach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
SPI
2 - 2
FLC
60%
20%
20%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
FLC
1 - 1
LEN
30%
23%
47%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2012 |
MSA
2 - 1
FLC
52%
21%
27%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
FLC
4 - 4
WAC
16%
21%
63%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
RUD
0 - 1
FLC
54%
21%
25%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
St. Veit Glan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
VEI
3 - 1
BLE
78%
14%
8%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
VOL
0 - 1
VEI
28%
25%
47%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2012 |
VEI
3 - 3
TRE
68%
18%
14%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
WEL
1 - 4
VEI
20%
22%
59%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
VEI
2 - 2
KMD
64%
19%
17%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |