Ferlach vs Landskron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
17.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
2º
13º
4º
23
6º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
80% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
80% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferlach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
SVK
1 - 0
FLC
28%
23%
49%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
FLC
1 - 4
ATV
67%
17%
16%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
LEN
1 - 1
FLC
38%
23%
38%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FLC
4 - 0
KAC
70%
17%
13%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
VOL
1 - 1
FLC
43%
23%
34%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Landskron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SCL
1 - 0
AUK
30%
21%
49%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SVJ
4 - 1
SCL
48%
22%
30%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SCL
1 - 2
TRE
19%
19%
62%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
SPI
4 - 3
SCL
63%
19%
18%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SCL
0 - 3
KLA
49%
22%
29%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |